Tropical Depression 16 forms in SW Caribbean

Tropical Depression 16 forms in SW Caribbean

Tropical Depression 16 forms in SW Caribbean

When wind speeds reach 39mph, it becomes a named storm and would be called Nate.

Check The Palm Beach Post's live storm tracking map.

What will really matter here is whether or not this rapidly developing system will move from a tropical storm into a hurricane. From there, uncertainty in the forecast means either a washout for Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky, or just a few light showers. Another area where the storm may quickly ramp up in intensity is over the south-central Gulf of Mexico.

Forecast tracks from the National Hurricane Center have the storm, then as Nate, entering the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend.

The tropical system will likely track close to, if not over parts of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula - including Cancún and Cozumel - Friday, perhaps lingering into early Saturday.

The National Hurricane Center is tracking a tropical depression that it predicts could become a hurricane before making landfall that could bring substantial rain to the Upstate over the weekend. As of early Wednesday afternoon, FSU said it was monitoring the storm, but no change in the schedule had been announced. Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy rains over Formation chance through 5 days...80 percent.

A disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is gaining organization.

"To stay safe, we urge people to keep checking AccuWeather.com and their AccuWeather apps for the latest developments", Myers said.

There have been 13 storms so far this season in the Atlantic basin, which is above the average of 12.

An average Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

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